Never get crashed.

It is less difficult explained than accomplished for Cup Sequence motorists at Talladega. But steering clear of a crash is the finest way to make certain a good finish and a first rate factors day for drivers in the playoffs.

We all know that a large crash or two or three will transpire at some point for the duration of Sunday’s race. It’s unavoidable. Each individual of the final nine races at Talladega have integrated at the very least 6 cautions. The race previous these 9, the 2015 tumble race at the keep track of, had just 3 cautions. And that third warning was for an 11-automobile crash on the ultimate lap of the race.

Heck, there had been two crashes on the remaining lap of this year’s spring race. Just after NASCAR didn’t get in touch with a warning for the to start with crash, yet another crash happened correct at the complete. Motorists are not harmless from crashing at Talladega right up until right after their cars are parked on pit road.

The propensity for significant crashes at Talladega is why it is so difficult to make picks at the observe. Sure, we have an concept of who will and could be very good in the course of the race. But one particular driver’s oversight can effortlessly wipe out 15 cars and trucks all around him.

Here’s how the playoff standings search moving into the 2nd race of the next spherical. Beneath are our picks. They are greater than wild guesses. But they are not assured picks both.

Standings

1. Kurt Busch (earn at Las Vegas)

2. Kevin Harvick, 3,104

3. Denny Hamlin, 3,101

4. Brad Keselowski, 3,059

5. Martin Truex Jr., 3,058

6. Joey Logano, 3,054

7. Chase Elliott, 3,053

8. Alex Bowman, 3,052

9. Kyle Busch, 3,043

10. Clint Bowyer, 3,032

11. Aric Almirola, 3,025

12. Austin Dillon, 3,029

Talladega

Sunday, Oct. 3, 2 p.m. ET (NBC)

The favourite: Ryan Blaney (+1000)

(Odds via BetMGM)

Ryan Blaney (12) and Aric Almirola (10) come down the front stretch on a restart during a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas, Sunday, July 19, 2020. (AP Photo/Ray Carlin)

Ryan Blaney (12) is the betting favourite soon after profitable just about every of the very last two Talladega races by trim margins. (AP Image/Ray Carlin)

Very best bets among the favorites

Denny Hamlin (+1100)

Hamlin is among the the group of 2nd favorites at +1100 with Brad Keselowski, Chase Elliott and Joey Logano. You just cannot go incorrect with any of these drivers. We’re likely with Hamlin simply because he’s recognized himself as the most savvy racer at Daytona and Talladega in recent decades and simply because he has the luxury of not acquiring to be concerned as a lot about a lousy complete mainly because of his factors placement. Though Hamlin has not gained at Talladega since the 2014 spring race, he’s completed in the major 4 in three of his final four Talladega commences.

Aric Almirola (+1400)

Almirola is the best worth on the board if you are hunting at earlier final results. Due to the fact finishing 27th at Talladega in the 2016 spring race he’s completed eighth, fourth, fifth, seventh, initial, ninth, fourth and third at the keep track of. It is a exceptional streak that is bound to get damaged by remaining in the completely wrong put at the completely wrong time at some level. Probably that some issue happens on Sunday. Who is familiar with. But we like Almirola’s likelihood at obtaining a second Talladega win. Or at minimum crossing the finish line with his car or truck pointed the correct way.

Ideal bets amid the longshots

Clint Bowyer (+2500)

Of course, we’re taking into consideration Bowyer a longshot at just +2500 simply because there are 12 other drivers who have odds of +2000 or improved. He’s 13th on the board because he’s pretty growth or bust at Talladega. He’s finished outside the house the best 20 in his past 3 starts off at the monitor because he was 2nd to Almirola in 2018. But he’s also won 2 times at Talladega and has completed in the top 5 in practically a quarter of his commences. That’s a very superior charge.

Matt DiBenedetto (+4000)

DiBenedetto’s No. 21 Wood Brothers motor vehicle is a satellite vehicle for Workforce Penske. And the three other Workforce Penske motorists are among the prime 5 favorites for this race. DiBenedetto is heading to have a superior car or truck. It is simply just about lastly finding a very good complete at Talladega. He’s under no circumstances completed in the leading 10 at the observe and his greatest end is an 18th that came back in 2015 for BK Racing. A great finish is unavoidable, right?

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Nick Bromberg is a author for Yahoo Sports.

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